Damage Scenarios for Central Europe - Historical Earthquakes as Basis for Calibrating Prognosis Tools

For the study area of Central Europe, an intensity-oriented damage and loss prediction model is developed and adapted to regional seismic risk studies in Germany (Schwarz et al., 2008), Austria (Schwarz et al., 2007), Greece (Langhammer et al., 2006), and Switzerland (Schwarz et al., 2008a). The procedures implemented in the model are structured in a modular system, and accordingly in a transparent way. Case studies for Central Europe are performed, not at least, to calibrate the damage and loss model to the existing particularities of regional predominant building types (expressed by a regionalisation factor [Ri]). The presented scenarios refer to historical earthquakes in different Federal States of Germany (BW, NW, TH) as well as in Austria (A) and Switzerland (CH).